Fed: Unemployment Projections Up, GDP Projections Down

Earlier today, the Federal Reserve released its projections for economic growth over the next couple of years.

The numbers weren't very pretty at all - many economists and reporters used the word "bleak" to describe the revised projections from the Fed, and I think that probably sums it up best.

Let's start with GDP growth:

2011

Current Projection - 1.6 to 1.7%
June Projection - 2.7 to 2.9%

2012

Current Projection - 2.5 to 2.9%
June Projection - 3.3 to 3.7%

2013

Current Projection - 3.0 to 3.5%
June Projection - 3.5 to 4.2%

2014

Current Projection - 3.0 to 3.9%
November Projection - n/a

Now, unemployment:

2011

Current Projection - 9.0 to 9.1%
June Projection - 8.6 to 8.9%

2012

Current Projection - 8.5 to 8.7%
June Projection - 7.8 to 8.2%

2013

Current Projection - 7.8 to 8.2%
June Projection - 7.0 to 7.5%

2014

Current Projection - 6.8 to 7.7%
June Projection - n/a

--

Note: Annualized GDP growth (advance estimate) for Q3/2011 was 2.5%, while the most recent unemployment rate (September 2011) was 9.1%.

Source: Federal Reserve - Federal Reserve Economic Projections from Nov 1-2 FOMC Meeting


Filed under: The Economic Meltdown



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