Will a Falling National Unemployment Rate Be Enough To Give Obama a Second Term?

�It�s the economy, stupid.�

This phrase was uttered by the Democrats time and time again during the run-up to the 1992 Presidential election.

George H.W. Bush was considered a lock to win a second term as President when the first Gulf War ended. The very next year, Bill Clinton took the White House, winning by a substantial margin.

Despite his sky-high approval rating in 1991, George H.W. Bush was ultimately done in by a weak economy.

Many issues weigh heavy on the minds of average voters, but in the end, it�s always the economy that rises to the top.

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A few short months ago, things weren�t looking very good for President Obama and his 2012 re-election campaign.

The national unemployment rate seemed frozen at 9.1% and Obama�s approval rating was stuck in the low 40s. From a historical perspective, the chances of Obama winning a second term weren�t very high, given his very low approval rating.

In November, the national unemployment rate dropped from 9% down to 8.6%. In December, more improvement - 8.5%.

As the national unemployment rate drops, Obama�s approval rating increases. After dropping as low as 38% in both late August and mid-October, Obama�s approval rating now sits at 46%.

The economy has now added jobs for six months in a row, and the national unemployment rate is the lowest its been since March of 2009.

The question is - will this be enough to put Obama over the top in November?

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