Twelve years of IRS data point the same way: income moving out of New York, California and Illinois and into Florida, Texas and the Carolinas. The flow jumped during the pandemic and eased in the latest year, but not back to where it started, and the states winning it are winning in different ways.
IRS Statistics of Income migration data, 2011-12 to 2022-23, as compiled for DaveManuel.com. Income is adjusted gross income in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. What the data does and does not show is explained in section 06.
01The Latest Year: Who Gained and Who Lost
In the IRS's 2022-23 data, 23 states gained income from people moving in and out, and 28, counting the District of Columbia, lost it. Florida's gain of $20.6 billion was more than the next four states put together. California and New York lost the most, about $12 billion and $10 billion.
The last column puts each figure in proportion: the net gain or loss as a share of the income reported by filers who stayed put. By that measure South Carolina gained slightly more than Florida, 2.6% against 2.4%, and Illinois lost more than New York.
The 10 biggest gains, 2022-23
| State | Net filers | Net income | Avg income, arriving | Avg income, leaving | Share of stayers' income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | +55,349 | +20.6B | $122,539 | $76,133 | +2.4% |
| Texas | +56,473 | +5.5B | $83,632 | $80,359 | +0.5% |
| South Carolina | +29,214 | +4.1B | $88,476 | $66,568 | +2.6% |
| North Carolina | +39,118 | +3.9B | $80,162 | $74,288 | +1.1% |
| Arizona | +17,316 | +2.8B | $87,497 | $75,593 | +1.1% |
| Tennessee | +24,104 | +2.8B | $79,430 | $70,076 | +1.2% |
| Nevada | +8,977 | +1.5B | $87,255 | $74,626 | +1.2% |
| Idaho | +5,811 | +1.0B | $81,248 | $64,061 | +1.5% |
| New Hampshire | +2,168 | +0.8B | $109,318 | $88,043 | +1.1% |
| Georgia | +14,671 | +0.7B | $70,169 | $72,289 | +0.2% |
The 10 biggest losses, 2022-23
| State | Net filers | Net income | Avg income, arriving | Avg income, leaving | Share of stayers' income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California | −100,397 | −11.9B | $95,523 | $102,120 | −0.7% |
| New York | −71,987 | −9.9B | $94,202 | $105,983 | −1.1% |
| Illinois | −28,609 | −6.0B | $78,820 | $104,443 | −1.2% |
| Massachusetts | −15,378 | −4.0B | $89,890 | $116,609 | −1.1% |
| New Jersey | −19,370 | −2.6B | $102,190 | $106,727 | −0.6% |
| Pennsylvania | −12,095 | −2.2B | $76,366 | $85,642 | −0.4% |
| Maryland | −13,628 | −1.8B | $80,821 | $88,251 | −0.7% |
| Ohio | −7,994 | −1.6B | $67,237 | $78,108 | −0.4% |
| Minnesota | −5,106 | −1.5B | $70,476 | $89,425 | −0.6% |
| Michigan | −8,770 | −1.0B | $74,145 | $77,943 | −0.3% |
Net filers counts tax returns, so a married couple filing jointly is one. Moves to and from other countries are left out. Net income is in billions of dollars.
Two things jump out. First, in most of the losing states the people leaving had higher average incomes than the people arriving: about $26,000 more in Massachusetts and Illinois, and about $12,000 more in New York. Second, the winners are not all low-tax magnets in the way people assume. North Carolina, South Carolina and Arizona all have income taxes, and all three gained more income than Nevada, which has none.
02Twelve Years Pointing the Same Way
The direction has not changed once in twelve years for the big five. Florida and Texas gained income from movers every year, and New York and Illinois lost it every year. California was roughly even in 2011-12 and has lost income every year since. What changed was the size. The flows grew through the 2010s, with some ups and downs, jumped in the two pandemic years, when remote work was one likely contributor, letting some people take a coastal salary somewhere cheaper, and eased in 2022-23. Even after easing, Florida's gain and California's loss were still larger than in any year before the pandemic.
Net adjusted gross income gained or lost through moves to and from other states, by IRS year pair, in billions of dollars of each year. Hover over a point for its value.
Over the whole twelve years, Florida gained $224 billion in income from movers, more than Texas, Arizona, North Carolina, South Carolina and Nevada combined. New York lost $125 billion and California $114 billion. Texas gained far less income than Florida over the period but nearly as many filers, which says something about who is moving there, as the next section shows.
Biggest gains, 2011-12 to 2022-23
| State | Net income, 12 years | Net filers, 12 years |
|---|---|---|
| Florida | +223.7B | +843,197 |
| Texas | +62.8B | +703,625 |
| Arizona | +33.5B | +290,700 |
| North Carolina | +33.5B | +331,873 |
| South Carolina | +32.8B | +251,476 |
| Nevada | +23.9B | +159,918 |
| Tennessee | +23.1B | +209,565 |
| Colorado | +18.9B | +191,582 |
| Idaho | +12.1B | +90,225 |
| Washington | +11.3B | +189,541 |
Biggest losses, 2011-12 to 2022-23
| State | Net income, 12 years | Net filers, 12 years |
|---|---|---|
| New York | −124.6B | −981,015 |
| California | −114.1B | −775,858 |
| Illinois | −72.0B | −491,672 |
| New Jersey | −35.7B | −234,232 |
| Massachusetts | −24.3B | −178,164 |
| Maryland | −19.9B | −115,579 |
| Pennsylvania | −19.4B | −144,924 |
| Ohio | −18.1B | −117,204 |
| Virginia | −15.6B | −56,950 |
| Connecticut | −15.0B | −93,109 |
Sums of the twelve yearly figures, in dollars of each year. A filer who moved twice in the period is counted twice. These totals sum annual net income flows; they are not estimates of added GDP, state tax revenue or the income those movers continue earning today.
03Florida and Texas Win Differently
Florida and Texas get mentioned in the same breath, but the IRS data shows two different kinds of migration. In 2022-23, Texas actually gained slightly more filers than Florida did, about 56,500 against 55,300. Florida gained almost four times as much income, $20.6 billion against $5.5 billion.
The difference is who arrives. The average filer moving to Florida reported $122,539 of income, about $46,000 more than the average filer leaving it. In the IRS's age and income tables, Florida's net gain of filers with $200,000 or more of income was about 21,900, and those arrivals reported $26.0 billion of income against $9.0 billion for the same group leaving. Texas's arrivals averaged $83,632, only about $3,300 more than its leavers.
Age tells the same story. Florida's biggest net gain was among filers aged 55 to 64, an age when many people are at or near their peak earnings. It gained fewer filers aged 65 and older than that, and few under 35. Texas is the reverse: its biggest gains were among filers aged 26 to 34, and it gained relatively few over 55. Florida gains more reported income; Texas's gains skew younger.
| Net filers, by age, 2022-23 | Under 26 | 26-34 | 35-44 | 45-54 | 55-64 | 65+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | +934 | +4,192 | +9,507 | +11,326 | +20,514 | +8,422 |
| Texas | +11,134 | +18,623 | +12,676 | +5,496 | +2,729 | +4,125 |
| California | −10,673 | −21,431 | −22,707 | −14,976 | −18,501 | −15,536 |
| New York | +7,920 | −20,613 | −23,076 | −12,593 | −12,635 | −13,485 |
| Illinois | −3,646 | −5,590 | −4,657 | −4,233 | −5,570 | −5,318 |
Age of the primary taxpayer. These IRS tables include moves to and from other countries and leave out returns with negative income, so the totals differ a little from the rest of this article.
California loses filers at every age and at every income level in the same tables. New York is the interesting exception: it still gains young filers under 26, and then loses every older group. One possible reading, which these state-level tables cannot confirm, is the familiar pattern of young people arriving for first jobs and older ones leaving for more space.
04The Routes That Move the Most Money
The single biggest flow of income between two states in 2022-23 was New York to Florida, $5.8 billion. Second was New York to New Jersey, a move many people make without changing jobs. California to Texas was the busiest route by number of filers, about 44,400 returns.
The averages show who takes each road. Filers moving from Illinois to Florida reported an average of $223,120, and from Massachusetts to Florida $209,015, both far above the average American return. Those two routes alone carried almost $6 billion of income to Florida. Plenty of people move the other way, too: the 18,440 filers who moved from New York to California averaged more than the 20,595 who went from California to New York.
| From | To | Filers | Income | Average per filer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | Florida | 43,187 | $5.8B | $133,218 |
| New York | New Jersey | 43,699 | $5.1B | $116,966 |
| California | Texas | 44,417 | $4.8B | $107,273 |
| Illinois | Florida | 14,834 | $3.3B | $223,120 |
| New Jersey | New York | 26,793 | $3.0B | $110,796 |
| New Jersey | Florida | 20,113 | $3.0B | $147,067 |
| New York | California | 18,440 | $2.8B | $153,927 |
| California | New York | 20,595 | $2.8B | $137,456 |
| California | Washington | 24,625 | $2.7B | $111,507 |
| California | Nevada | 26,210 | $2.7B | $102,572 |
| California | Florida | 20,241 | $2.6B | $130,398 |
| Massachusetts | Florida | 12,159 | $2.5B | $209,015 |
The 12 largest state-to-state routes by income reported in the year after the move, 2022-23. Every route, including counties, is on the income migration map.
05Do Taxes Explain It?
The pattern is consistent with taxes playing a role, but these figures cannot isolate their effect. Taken together, the nine states without a broad income tax on wages (Alaska, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Washington and Wyoming) recorded a net income gain from movers in every year examined, about $350 billion over the twelve years. New Hampshire taxed interest and dividends until 2025 and Washington added a tax on capital gains in 2022, but neither taxes wages.
Combined net income gained through interstate moves by the nine states without a broad wage income tax, by IRS year pair, in billions of dollars of each year.
But taxes are not the whole story, and the IRS data cannot say why anyone moved. Housing costs, jobs, weather, family and retirement all play a part, and they push in the same direction as taxes for many of these states. Three of the strongest winners, North Carolina, South Carolina and Arizona, have income taxes. Two of the no-tax states lost income in 2022-23: Alaska, and Washington, which went from a steady gainer through the 2010s to small losses in 2021-22 and 2022-23. That turn came around the time it adopted its capital gains tax, but the timing alone does not show the tax caused it; plenty else was changing in those pandemic years.
If you are weighing a move yourself, the no-income-tax state move calculator works through the taxes, housing and other costs, the cost-of-living salary calculator shows what you would need to earn somewhere else, and the state millionaire surtaxes page covers the new top-end taxes some states have added.
06What the Numbers Cannot Tell You
How to read IRS migration data
- It counts tax filers, not people. Only returns that could be matched in both years are included, so people who do not file, file late or file as a dependent are missing. A joint return counts once.
- The address is a mailing address. The IRS warns that it may not be where someone actually lives, so a few moves are missed and a few non-moves are counted.
- Income is from the return filed after the move. The figures use adjusted gross income from the second year's return, so the 2022-23 numbers are 2022 income, part of which may have been earned before the move.
- Income is not wealth. The data shows reported income, not the savings and property people take with them, and a retiree with large assets can report modest income.
- The dollars are not adjusted for inflation, which flatters the later years a little.
- The method changed in 2022-23. The IRS updated how it matches returns, adding about 5% more of them, so the latest year is not perfectly comparable with earlier ones.
None of that changes the direction of the flows, which has been the same for twelve years and has shown up through two very different economies. The income migration map has every state, county and route back to 2011-12, and will pick up the next year of IRS data when it is published.
07Sources
- IRS Statistics of Income: U.S. population migration data
- IRS: Statistics of Income migration data, 2022-2023 documentation (methods and limits)
- Nashua Telegraph: Repeal of the New Hampshire interest and dividends tax now in effect (Jan 2025)
- Washington State Department of Revenue: Capital gains tax
- DaveManuel.com: Where America's Income Is Moving (the data behind this article)
