DaveManuel.com · About

Sources and Methods

Where the numbers on DaveManuel.com come from, how often each page is refreshed, how the net worth estimates are built, and how changes are recorded.

15pages that update themselves from official data
74Special Features data pages
10net worth profiles
Nightlycheck of every data page for changes
Weeklyreview of every Special Features and net worth page

01Who Runs the Site

DaveManuel.com is written and run by Dave Manuel, who has traded stocks and options since 1997. The site covers markets, government finances, taxes, retirement and politics, and its data pages are built from official government sources wherever one exists.

02Where the Data Comes From

SourceUsed forRefreshed
U.S. TreasuryThe national debt (Debt to the Penny), foreign holders of Treasuries (TIC), tariff revenue (Fiscal Data) and sanctions (OFAC)Daily to monthly
Bureau of Labor StatisticsThe inflation calculator and national and state unemploymentMonthly
Federal Election CommissionThe midterm money tracker and billionaire political donorsDaily
Department of LaborThe 401(k) Plan Lookup, from Form 5500 filingsMonthly
IRS and Canada Revenue Agency401(k), IRA, TFSA, RRSP and FHSA contribution limitsYearly
SEC EDGARNet worth estimates (proxy statements and insider filings) and company dataAs filed
House and Senate disclosuresThe congressional stock trading trackerDaily
Statistics Canada and FREDHousing starts and populationMonthly
EIA, USGS and IMF PortWatchElectricity prices, earthquakes and shipping chokepointsLive to monthly

Every data page also names its own sources, under Sources near the bottom and in its Cite This Page section.

03How Pages Stay Current

Automatic updates. Pages built on live government data pull new figures on a schedule, from every ten minutes for the midterm odds tracker to once a month for Treasury holdings. Each page shows when its data was last updated.

Nightly change check. Every night each data page and the data files behind it are compared with the night before. When anything has changed, the page's last-updated date moves and search engines are notified.

Weekly review. Every Special Features page and every net worth profile is reviewed each week against its sources for new filings, new official figures and anything that has gone out of date.

Dated figures only. Numbers that change, such as a share price or a net worth, are always shown with the date they apply to, so a page never presents an old figure as current.

04How the Net Worth Estimates Are Built

Each estimate is a sum of the parts: every holding is valued separately from public records and the values are added up. Stock is counted from the person's latest SEC filings and valued at a stated day's closing price. Private companies are valued from their most recent priced deals, and real estate at reported purchase prices unless a better valuation is public. Cash from past stock sales is counted after estimated taxes.

Where a number is uncertain, the page gives a range and explains what drives it, and it shows the Forbes and Bloomberg figures next to ours with the reason they differ. Estimates from sites that do not show their sources are never used.

05Standards

Official sources firstA government filing or dataset is used over a news report whenever one exists; news reports are used for context and named.
Checked before publishingNew data pages and net worth profiles are fact-checked against their sources before they go live, and existing pages are checked again in the weekly review.
Ranges, not false precisionWhen the inputs are estimates, the result is shown as a range.
No adsThe site does not run ads. Some pages carry affiliate links; they never affect the figures.

06Updates and Corrections

Corrections to figures on published pages, with the date and what changed.

DatePageWhat changed
Oct 23, 20262026 Midterm Money TrackerOutside spending now includes the 24/48-hour independent expenditure notices filed with the FEC as well as regular reports, bringing the outside total to $3.01 billion. Each race now shows its general-election matchup.

Most recently updated pages:

07Citing DaveManuel.com

Every data page ends with ready-made citations in plain, APA, Chicago and Wikipedia formats, with the date the page was last updated. See Citing DaveManuel.com on the About page.