Canada's Equalization Payments: The Complete Guide to Who Pays and Who Receives


$27B Total Payments (2026-27)
68 Years of Operation
7 Recipient Provinces
$500B+ Total Since 1957
πŸ“‹

What Are Equalization Payments?

Constitutional Commitment

Equalization is a federal transfer program enshrined in Section 36(2) of the Constitution Act, 1982. It redistributes wealth among provinces to ensure all Canadians have access to comparable public services, regardless of where they live. Provinces do not directly pay into the program β€” it is funded entirely from federal general revenues collected from taxpayers across all provinces.

πŸ₯

Healthcare

Hospitals, doctors, and medical services

πŸŽ“

Education

Schools, universities, and programs

πŸ›£οΈ

Infrastructure

Roads, bridges, and public transit

πŸ‘₯

Social Services

Welfare, childcare, and senior support

βš™οΈ

How the Formula Works

The formula measures each province's "fiscal capacity" β€” their theoretical ability to raise revenue β€” across five categories:

πŸ’°
Personal Income
🏒
Business Taxes
πŸ›’
Consumption
🏠
Property
β›½
Resources
1

Calculate Capacity

Determine what each province could raise at national average tax rates

2

Compare to Average

Compare per-capita fiscal capacity to the 10-province average

3

Calculate Gap

Provinces below average qualify for payments to reach the average

4

Apply GDP Ceiling

Total payments grow with nominal GDP (3-year moving average)

πŸ“Š

2026-27 Payments by Province

Total Equalization Payments ($ Billions)

Per Capita Payments (2024-25)

🍁

Provincial Breakdown (2026-27)

Province Status 2026-27 Payment Per Capita % of Total
Quebec Receiver $13.9B $1,580 51.5%
Manitoba Receiver $5.0B $3,450 18.5%
Nova Scotia Receiver $3.5B $3,400 13.0%
New Brunswick Receiver $3.3B $4,000 12.2%
Prince Edward Island Receiver $723M $4,200 2.7%
Ontario Receiver $406M $26 1.5%
Newfoundland & Labrador Receiver $182M $340 0.7%
Alberta Non-Receiver $0 N/A 0%
British Columbia Non-Receiver $0 N/A 0%
Saskatchewan Non-Receiver $0 N/A 0%
πŸ’΅

Estimated Net Contributors

While provinces don't directly pay into equalization (it's funded from federal general revenues), we can estimate each province's "contribution" based on their share of federal taxes paid.

Province Est. Contribution (2007-2024) Inflation-Adjusted (2024 $) Share of Fed. Tax Status
Alberta ~$75B ~$85B ~16-17% Net Contributor
Ontario ~$55B ~$62B ~38-40% Mixed*
British Columbia ~$28B ~$32B ~12-13% Net Contributor
Saskatchewan ~$8B ~$9B ~3-4% Net Contributor
Total (Non-Receivers) ~$166B ~$188B β€” β€”

Alberta's Outsized Role

With ~11.6% of Canada's population, Alberta contributes ~16-17% of federal revenues. From 2007-2022, Albertans' total net contribution to all federal finances (not just equalization) was $244.6 billion β€” more than 5Γ— the combined net contribution of BC and Ontario.

*Ontario's Mixed Status: Ontario was a pure contributor until 2009, then became a receiver during the Great Recession. It currently receives small payments but still contributes far more in federal taxes than it receives back overall.

Estimates based on provincial share of federal tax revenues. Sources: Statistics Canada, Canadian Taxpayers Federation, Fraser Institute.

Cumulative Net Contributions Since 1957

Province Est. Cumulative (Nominal) Inflation-Adjusted (2024 $) Years as Contributor
Ontario ~$175–200B ~$350–400B 1957–2008 (52 yrs)
Alberta ~$90–110B ~$175–225B 1965–present (59 yrs)
British Columbia ~$55–70B ~$110–140B ~50+ years
Saskatchewan ~$5–10B (net) ~$15–25B (net) 2008–present (16 yrs)
Total Est. Contributions ~$325–390B ~$650–790B β€”

Total Program Scale (1957-2024)

Total Paid Out: ~$500-550 billion (nominal) | ~$900B - $1 trillion (2024 dollars)

Quebec's Share: ~$250 billion received (51% of all payments since 1957)

Atlantic Canada: ~$120 billion combined (NB, NS, PEI, NL)

Note: Historical estimates are approximations based on provincial GDP shares and federal tax data. Exact figures are difficult to calculate as economic circumstances have shifted significantly since 1957.

βš–οΈ

The Quebec-Alberta Debate

Quebec

Largest Receiver
2026-27 Payment $13.9 Billion
Population Share ~23% of Canada
Cumulative (since 1957) ~$250B (51% of all)
Key Resource Hydroelectricity
Avg Electricity Rate 7.3Β’/kWh (lowest)

Alberta

Largest Net Contributor
2026-27 Payment $0
Population Share ~11.6% of Canada
Est. Net Contribution (2007-22) $244.6 Billion
Key Resource Oil & Gas
Last Payment Received 1964-65

Why Quebec's Total Is So Large: GDP Lag & Population

Population Effect: Because equalization is calculated on a per capita basis, Quebec's large population (approx. 9 million) naturally results in a massive total dollar amount, even though its per-person payment (~$1,580) is actually lower than Maritime provinces like PEI (~$4,200) or New Brunswick (~$4,000).

Three-Year Smoothing Lag: The 2026-27 payments are based on a weighted average of economic data from 2022 to 2025. This "lag" means that even if Quebec's economy grows rapidly today, it continues to receive high payments based on older, "poorer" data for several years. The same principle works in reverse for provinces whose economies decline.

The Hydro vs. Oil Paradox: Utility vs. Commodity

Hydro = Public Utility: Hydroelectricity is treated as a public utility delivered by Crown corporations. The formula uses actual revenues from domestic sales. Since Quebec sells power at below-market regulated rates (7.3Β’/kWh vs. 15Β’+ elsewhere), the revenue counted is artificially low β€” even though the resource has enormous market value if exported.

Oil & Gas = Commodity: Oil is treated as a commodity sold on world markets at full market prices. Alberta cannot sell oil to Albertans at a "subsidized" domestic rate β€” it's sold globally at market value. There's no equivalent way to "hide" revenue capacity the way hydro-rich provinces can.

The Double Standard: Alberta's lack of a PST is treated differently β€” the formula assumes Alberta could have one and calculates hypothetical revenue. But Quebec's choice to forgo billions in potential hydro revenue is not counted. Critics argue this effectively rewards hydro provinces for subsidizing their residents' power bills at the expense of taxpayers elsewhere.

πŸ“œ

Historical Evolution

1957
Program Established
First formal equalization program. Goal: bring provinces up to per-capita revenue of the two wealthiest (Ontario & BC). Initial payout: $139 million.
1962
Natural Resources Added
50% of natural resource revenues included. Standard changed from "top two provinces" to the national average.
1967
Major Redesign
Comprehensive overhaul covering nearly all revenue sources. Canada becomes world's most generous equalization system.
1982
Constitutional Entrenchment
Program enshrined in Constitution Act, Section 36(2). Five-province standard adopted (excluding Alberta).
2007
Expert Panel Reforms
Return to formula-based approach. Natural resource treatment changed to 50% inclusion or full exclusion. Fiscal capacity cap introduced.
2009
GDP Growth Ceiling
Total payments capped to grow with nominal GDP. Ontario becomes recipient for first time due to Great Recession.
2021
Alberta Referendum
61.7% of Albertans vote to remove equalization from Constitution. Non-binding result highlights western discontent.
2023-29
Current Period
Program renewed for five years. Newfoundland launches constitutional challenge. Annual payments exceed $27 billion.

Total Equalization Payments Over Time (1957-2027)

Canada's Equalization Payment System β€” Comprehensive Overview

Data current as of February 2026

Data Sources

Department of Finance Canada β€’ Library of Parliament β€’ Statistics Canada β€’ Fraser Institute