Special Feature · Canadian Elections

31st Saskatchewan general election: Polls

The DaveManuel.com polling average for the 31st Saskatchewan general election, built from every poll in Wikipedia's polling table for the election and updated several times a day. Pick any federal or provincial election below.

Saskatchewan Party +2.0
lead in the polling average over the second-place party · 1 polls in the average, latest October 13, 2026
48.0%Saskatchewan Party
46.0%NDP
6.0%Others

Elections: British Columbia · Canada (federal) · Alberta · Saskatchewan · Manitoba · Ontario · Quebec · New Brunswick · Nova Scotia · Prince Edward Island · Newfoundland and Labrador

01The Polling Average

PartyAverage4 weeks earlier
Saskatchewan Party48.0%45.0%
NDP46.0%45.0%
Others6.0%4.0%

Weighted average of 1 polls ending in the 30 days to October 13, 2026 (60 days when fewer than three polls are available): newer polls and larger samples count for more (weight halves every 7 days), and each firm's older polls count half, so no single pollster dominates.

02Latest Polls

PollsterEndedSampleSKPNDPOTH
Abacus DataOct 13, 20261,00048466
InsightrixApr 1, 202661245454
Angus Reid InstituteDec 1, 202532655395
Angus Reid InstituteSep 5, 202529654416

The most recent 4 of 4 polls in the table, by the last day in the field. Columns: SKP = Saskatchewan Party, NDP = NDP, OTH = Others.

03Every Federal and Provincial Election

ElectionLeadingLeadLatest poll
British Columbia2026 British Columbia general electionBC Conservatives 43.5%+4.9Oct 23, 2026
Canada (federal)46th Canadian federal electionLiberal 47.2%+16.5Oct 17, 2026
Alberta32nd Alberta general electionUnited Conservative 45.3%+0.1Oct 16, 2026
Saskatchewan31st Saskatchewan general electionSaskatchewan Party 48.0%+2.0Oct 13, 2026
Manitoba44th Manitoba general electionNDP 60.0%+31.0Sep 14, 2026
Ontario45th Ontario general electionPC 39.5%+7.9Oct 19, 2026
Quebec45th Quebec general electionNo polls published yet
New Brunswick42nd New Brunswick general electionLiberal 46.0%+16.0Sep 28, 2026
Nova Scotia66th Nova Scotia general electionNDP 35.7%+4.0Sep 28, 2026
Prince Edward Island68th Prince Edward Island general electionGreen 46.0%+22.0Sep 28, 2026
Newfoundland and Labrador53rd Newfoundland and Labrador general electionLiberal 42.0%+12.0Sep 28, 2026

04How It Works

The polls. Polls are collected from the opinion polling tables maintained on Wikipedia, which list each pollster's release with its dates, sample size and results, and checked automatically several times a day. The average weights each poll by how recent it is and by its sample size, and counts each firm's older polls at half weight. Smaller parties that only some pollsters list separately are scaled with Others so the shares add up to 100.

Seat projections are added for an election once its last-election results by district are loaded into the model.

05Sources

Cite This Page

This page is free to cite and link. Its figures come from Wikipedia opinion polling tables (CC BY-SA 4.0), compiled from each pollster; Elections BC official results and are kept current, so please include the date you accessed it.

FormatCitation
PlainDave Manuel, “Canadian Election Polls and Seat Projections: BC, Federal and Every Province,” DaveManuel.com, https://www.davemanuel.com/canada-election-polls.php (accessed October 24, 2026).Copy
APAManuel, D. (2026). Canadian Election Polls and Seat Projections: BC, Federal and Every Province. DaveManuel.com. Retrieved October 24, 2026, from https://www.davemanuel.com/canada-election-polls.phpCopy
ChicagoManuel, Dave. “Canadian Election Polls and Seat Projections: BC, Federal and Every Province.” DaveManuel.com. Accessed October 24, 2026. https://www.davemanuel.com/canada-election-polls.php.Copy
Wikipedia{{cite web |url=https://www.davemanuel.com/canada-election-polls.php |title=Canadian Election Polls and Seat Projections: BC, Federal and Every Province |last=Manuel |first=Dave |website=DaveManuel.com |access-date=2026-10-24}}Copy
Link (HTML)<a href="https://www.davemanuel.com/canada-election-polls.php">Canadian Election Polls and Seat Projections: BC, Federal and Every Province (DaveManuel.com)</a>Copy

Source data: Wikipedia opinion polling tables (CC BY-SA 4.0), compiled from each pollster; Elections BC official results. Updates: Every 3 hours. How we build our data pages.